Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics Douglas Lind 17e - Test Bank

Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics Douglas Lind 17e - Test Bank   Instant Download - Complete Test Bank With Answers     Sample Questions Are Posted Below   Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics, 17e (Lind) Chapter 5   A Survey of Probability Concepts   1) The probability of rolling a 3 or 2 on …

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Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics Douglas Lind 17e – Test Bank

 

Instant Download – Complete Test Bank With Answers

 

 

Sample Questions Are Posted Below

 

Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics, 17e (Lind)

Chapter 5   A Survey of Probability Concepts

 

1) The probability of rolling a 3 or 2 on a single die is an example of conditional probability.

 

Answer:  FALSE

Explanation:  This is classical probability.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-02 Assign probabilities using a classical, empirical, or subjective approach.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

2) The probability of rolling a 3 or 2 on a single die is an example of mutually exclusive events.

 

Answer:  TRUE

Explanation:  This is mutually exclusive as you cannot roll both a 2 and a 3 at the same time. Only one of these events can happen on a roll of a single die.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-02 Assign probabilities using a classical, empirical, or subjective approach.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

3) An individual can assign a subjective probability to an event based on the individual’s knowledge about the event.

 

Answer:  TRUE

Explanation:  When someone uses available knowledge to assign a probability to an event, this is subjective probability as it is based on an opinion.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-02 Assign probabilities using a classical, empirical, or subjective approach.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

4) To apply the special rule of addition, the events must be mutually exclusive.

 

Answer:  TRUE

Explanation:  The special rule of addition assumes there is no intersection or joint probability between events, so the events cannot occur concurrently (i.e., they are mutually exclusive so the joint probability is zero).

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

5) A joint probability measures the likelihood that two or more events will happen concurrently.

 

Answer:  TRUE

Explanation:  A joint probability measures the chance that several events can happen at the same time. If the joint probability is zero, then the events are mutually exclusive.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

6) The joint probability of two independent events, A and B, is computed as P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B).

 

Answer:  TRUE

Explanation:  If Events A and B are independent, then the P(A) = P(A|B) and P(B) = P(B|A). In other words, P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B) as the conditional probability is zero.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

 

 

7) The joint probability of two events, A and B, that are NOT independent is computed as
P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B|A).

 

Answer:  TRUE

Explanation:  When two events are not independent, then P(B) ≠ P(B|A). In other words, the probability of B depends on the other event A, so we must use P(B|A) in calculating the joint probability of A and B rather than just P(B).

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

 

8) A coin is tossed four times. The joint probability that all four tosses will result in a head is 1/4 or 0.25.

 

Answer:  FALSE

Explanation:  Each outcome’s probability is 0.5. The joint probability is (0.5)(0.5)(0.5)(0.5) = 0.0625.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

9) If there are “m” ways of doing one thing, and “n” ways of doing another thing, the multiplication formula states that there are (m) × (n) ways of doing both.

 

Answer:  TRUE

Explanation:  The multiplication formula states the number of possible arrangements that are possible for two or more events.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

10) A combination of a set of objects is defined by the order of the objects.

 

Answer:  FALSE

Explanation:  The order of objects is important for permutations but not combinations.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

11) The complement rule states that the probability of an event not occurring is equal to 1 minus the probability of its occurrence.

 

Answer:  TRUE

Explanation:  If P(A) and P(~A) are complements, then P(A) = 1 − P(~A) and P(~A) = 1 − P(A).

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

 

12) If two events are mutually exclusive, then P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B).

 

Answer:  FALSE

Explanation:  If two events are mutually exclusive, then P(A and B) = 0

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

13) An illustration of an experiment is turning the ignition key of an automobile as it comes off the assembly line to determine whether or not the engine will start.

 

Answer:  TRUE

Explanation:  An experiment is a process that leads to the occurrence of one and only one of several possible outcomes. In this case, the experiment is turning the key (the process) and the possible outcomes are (1) the car starts, or (2) the car doesn’t start.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  What is a Probability?

Learning Objective:  05-01 Define the terms probability, experiment, event, and outcome.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

14) Bayes’ theorem is a method to revise the probability of an event given additional information.

 

Answer:  TRUE

Explanation:  In Bayes’ theorem, we take initial probabilities known on the basis of current information (prior probabilities) and revise them based on new information (posterior probabilities).

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Bayes Theorem

Learning Objective:  05-06 Calculate probabilities using Bayes theorem.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

15) Bayes’ theorem is used to calculate a subjective probability.

 

Answer:  FALSE

Explanation:  Bayes’ theorem is used to calculate posterior probabilities (a revised probability based on new information). Subjective probability is a method used to assign a probability based on the opinion of someone using available information.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Bayes Theorem

Learning Objective:  05-06 Calculate probabilities using Bayes theorem.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

16) The National Center for Health Statistics reported that of every 883 deaths in recent years, 24 resulted from an automobile accident, 182 from cancer, and 333 from heart disease. What is the probability that a particular death is due to an automobile accident?

  1. A) 24/883 or 0.027
  2. B) 539/883 or 0.610
  3. C) 24/333 or 0.072
  4. D) 182/883 or 0.206

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  Based on the empirical approach to probability, 24/883 = 0.027.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-02 Assign probabilities using a classical, empirical, or subjective approach.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

17) If two events A and B are mutually exclusive, what does the special rule of addition state?

  1. A) P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
  2. B) P(A and B) = P(A) + P(B)
  3. C) P(A and/or B) = P(A) + P(B)
  4. D) P(A or B) = P(A) − P(B)

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  By definition, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) is the special rule of addition.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

 

18) What does the complement rule state?

  1. A) P(A) = P(A) − P(B)
  2. B) P(A) = 1 – P(not A)
  3. C) P(A) = P(A) × P(B)
  4. D) P(A) = P(A)X + P(B)

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  By definition, P(A) plus its complement, P(not A) must equal 1.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

19) Which approach to probability is exemplified by the following formula?

 

Probability of an event =

  1. A) The classical approach
  2. B) The empirical approach
  3. C) The subjective approach
  4. D) None of these answers are correct.

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  The empirical rule is based on the frequency of observed experimental outcomes.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-02 Assign probabilities using a classical, empirical, or subjective approach.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

 

 

 

20) A study of 200 computer service firms revealed these incomes after taxes:

 

Income After Taxes Number of Firms
Under $1 million 102
$1 million up to $20 million 61
$20 million or more 37

 

What is the probability that a particular firm selected has $1 million or more in income after taxes?

  1. A) 0.00
  2. B) 0.25
  3. C) 0.49
  4. D) 0.51

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  A couple of approaches can be used to answer the question. Using the complement rule, the probability of firms less than $1 million is 102/200 = 0.51. The complement or firms with $1 million or more income is 1.0 − 0.51 = 0.49.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

21) A firm offers routine physical examinations as part of a health service program for its employees. The exams showed that 8% of the employees needed corrective shoes, 15% needed major dental work, and 3% needed both corrective shoes and major dental work. What is the probability that an employee selected at random will need either corrective shoes or major dental work?

  1. A) 0.20
  2. B) 0.25
  3. C) 0.50
  4. D) 1.00

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  The two events, corrective shoes and dental work, are not mutually exclusive because an employee can need both. The P(corrective shoes or dental work) = P(corrective shoes) + P(dental work) − P(corrective shoes and dental work) = 0.8 + 0.15 − 0.03 = 0.20.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

 

22) A survey of top executives revealed that 35% of them regularly read Time magazine, 20% read Newsweek, and 40% read U.S. News & World Report. A total of 10% read both Time and U.S. News & World Report. What is the probability that a particular top executive reads either Time or U.S. News & World Report regularly?

  1. A) 0.85
  2. B) 0.06
  3. C) 1.00
  4. D) 0.65

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  The three events—reading Time, Newsweek, or U.S. News & World Report—are not mutually exclusive because executives can read more than one of the magazines. The P(Time or U.S. News) = P(Time) + P(U.S. News) − P(Time and U.S. News) = 0.35 + 0.40 − 0.10 = 0.65.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

23) A study by the National Park Service revealed that 50% of the vacationers going to the Rocky Mountain region visit Yellowstone Park, 40% visit the Grand Tetons, and 35% visit both. What is the probability that a vacationer will visit at least one of these magnificent attractions?

  1. A) 0.95
  2. B) 0.35
  3. C) 0.55
  4. D) 0.05

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  The two events, visiting Yellowstone and visiting the Grand Tetons, are not mutually exclusive because vacationers can visit both locations. The P(Yellowstone or Grand Tetons) = P(Yellowstone) + P(Grand Tetons) − P(Yellowstone and Grand Tetons) = 0.50 + 0.40 − 0.35 = 0.55.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

 

24) A tire manufacturer advertises, “The median life of our new all-season radial tire is 50,000 miles. An immediate adjustment will be made on any tire that does not last 50,000 miles.” You purchased four of these tires. What is the probability that all four tires will wear out before traveling 50,000 miles?

  1. A) 1/10 or 0.10
  2. B) 1/4 or 0.25
  3. C) 1/64 or 0.0156
  4. D) 1/16 or 0.0625

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  The median corresponds with the 50th percentile. So the probability that a tire wears out before 50,000 miles is 0.5. Each outcome’s probability is 0.5. The joint probability is (0.5)(0.5)(0.5)(0.5) = 0.0625.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

25) A sales representative calls on four hospitals in Westchester County. It is immaterial what order he calls on them. How many ways can he organize his calls?

  1. A) 4
  2. B) 24
  3. C) 120
  4. D) 37

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  Use the multiplication formula: (4)(3)(2)(1) = 24.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

26) There are 10 AAA batteries in a box and 3 are defective. Two batteries are selected without replacement. What is the probability of selecting a defective battery followed by another defective battery?

  1. A) 1/2 or 0.50
  2. B) 1/4 or 0.25
  3. C) 1/120 or about 0.0083
  4. D) 1/15 or about 0.07

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  The probability of a defective battery on the first selection is 3/10 = 0.3. The probability of selecting a second defective battery is a conditional probability that assumes the first selection was defective, so the probability of a second defective battery is 2/9. The joint probability is (3/10)(2/9) = 0.066667.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Reflective Thinking

27) Giorgio offers the person who purchases an 8-ounce bottle of Allure two free gifts, chosen from the following: an umbrella, a 1-ounce bottle of Midnight, a feminine shaving kit, a raincoat, or a pair of rain boots. If you purchased Allure, what is the probability you randomly select an umbrella and a shaving kit in that order?

  1. A) 0.00
  2. B) 1.00
  3. C) 0.05
  4. D) 0.20

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  There are five different gifts. Therefore, the probability of any gift is 1/5 = 0.2. The probability of selecting a second gift is a conditional probability that assumes the first selection was an umbrella, so the probability of a second gift, a shaving kit, is 1/4 = 0.25. The joint probability is (1/5)(1/4) = 1/20 = 0.05.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

28) A board of directors consists of eight men and four women. A four-member search committee is randomly chosen to recommend a new company president. What is the probability that all four members of the search committee will be women?

  1. A) 1/120 or 0.00083
  2. B) 1/16 or 0.0625
  3. C) 1/8 or 0.125
  4. D) 1/495 or 0.002

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  There are four women in a group of 12 individuals. Therefore, the probability of picking a woman on the first selection is 4/12, the second selection is 3/11, the third selection is 2/10, and the fourth is 1/9. This is an application of the multiplication rule for events that are not independent. The joint probability is (4/12)(3/11)(2/10)(1/9) = 0.002.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

29) A lamp manufacturer designed five lamp bases and four lampshades that could be used together. How many different arrangements of base and shade can be offered?

  1. A) 5
  2. B) 10
  3. C) 15
  4. D) 20

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  Using the multiplication formula, (5)(4) = 20.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

30) A gumball machine has just been filled with 50 black, 150 white, 100 red, and 100 yellow gumballs that have been thoroughly mixed. Sue and Jim each purchase one gumball. What is the likelihood that both Sue and Jim will get red gumballs?

  1. A) 0.50
  2. B) 0.062
  3. C) 0.33
  4. D) 0.75

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  The probability of a red gumball on the first selection is 100/400 = 0.25. The probability of selecting a second red gumball is a conditional probability that assumes the first selection was a red gumball, so the probability of a second red gumball is 99/399. The joint probability is (100/400)(99/399) = 0.062.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

31) What does  equal?

  1. A) 640
  2. B) 36
  3. C) 10
  4. D) 120

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  (6*5*4*3*2*1)(2*1)/(4*3*2*1)(3*2*1) = 10

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic; Reflective Thinking

 

 

 

32) In a management trainee program, 80% of the trainees are female, while 20% are male. Ninety percent of the females attended college; 78% of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a female who did NOT attend college?

  1. A) 0.20
  2. B) 0.08
  3. C) 0.25
  4. D) 0.80

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  First, the conditional probability that a person attended college given the person is female is P(college | female) = 0.9. The complement is P(no college | female) = 0.1. Now the joint probability of selecting a female who did not attend college is P(female and no college) = P(female) P(no college | female) = (0.8)(0.1) = 0.08.

Difficulty: 3 Hard

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

33) In a management trainee program, 80% of the trainees are female, while 20% are male. Ninety percent of the females attended college; 78% of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a female who attended college?

  1. A) 0.20
  2. B) 0.08
  3. C) 0.25
  4. D) 0.72

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  First, the conditional probability that a person attended college given the person is female is P(college | female) = 0.9. Now the joint probability of selecting a female who did attend college is P(female and college) = P(female) P(college | female) = (0.8)(0.9) = 0.72.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

34) In a management trainee program, 80% of the trainees are female, while 20% are male. Ninety percent of the females attended college; 78% of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a male who did NOT attend college?

  1. A) 0.044
  2. B) 0.440
  3. C) 0.256
  4. D) 0.801

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  First, the conditional probability that a person attended college given the person is male is P(college | male) = 0.78. The complement is P(no college | male) = 0.22. Now the joint probability of selecting a male who did not attend college is P(male and no college) = P(male) P(no college | male) = (0.2)(0.22) = 0.044.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

35) In a management trainee program, 80% of the trainees are female, while 20% are male. Ninety percent of the females attended college; 78% of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a male who did NOT attend college?

  1. A) P (male) P (did not attend college | male)
  2. B) P (did not attend college) P (male | did not attend college)
  3. C) P (male) P (did not attend college)
  4. D) P (did not attend college)

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  First, the conditional probability that a person attended college given the person is male is P(college | male). The complement is P(no college | male). Now the joint probability of selecting a male who did not attend college is P(male and no college) = P(male) P(no college | male).

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

36) In a management trainee program, 80% of the trainees are female, while 20% are male. Ninety percent of the females attended college; 78% of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a female who attended college?

  1. A) P (female) P (did not attend college | female)
  2. B) P (did attend college) P (female | did not attend college)
  3. C) P (female) P (did attend college | female)
  4. D) P (did attend college)

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  First, the conditional probability that a person attended college given the person is female is P(college | female). The complement is P(no college | female). Now the joint probability of selecting a female who did not attend college is P(female and no college) = P(female) P(no college | female).

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

37) A supplier delivers an order for 20 electric toothbrushes to a store. By accident, three of the electric toothbrushes are defective. What is the probability that the first two electric toothbrushes sold are defective?

  1. A) 3/20 or 0.15
  2. B) 3/17 or 0.176
  3. C) 1/4 or 0.25
  4. D) 6/380 or 0.01579

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  The probability of a defective unit on the first selection is 3/20 = 0.15. The probability of selecting a second unit is a conditional probability that assumes the first selection was defective, so the probability of a second defective toothbrush is 2/19. The joint probability is (3/20)(2/19) = 0.01579.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

38) An electronics firm sells four models of stereo receivers, three amplifiers, and six speaker brands. When the four types of components are sold together, they form a “system.” How many different systems can the electronics firm offer?

  1. A) 36
  2. B) 18
  3. C) 72
  4. D) 144

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  Using the multiplication formula, (4)(3)(6) = 72.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

39) The numbers 0 through 9 are used in code groups of four to identify an item of clothing. Code 1083 might identify a blue blouse, size medium. The code group 2031 might identify a pair of pants, size 18, and so on. Repetitions of numbers are not permitted—in other words, the same number cannot be used more than once in a total sequence. As examples, 2,256, 2,562, or 5,559 would not be permitted. How many different code groups can be designed?

  1. A) 5,040
  2. B) 620
  3. C) 10,200
  4. D) 120

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  Using the multiplication formula, (10)(9)(8)(7) = 5,040 different codes without repeated digits.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

40) How many permutations of the three letters C, D, and E are possible?

  1. A) 3
  2. B) 0
  3. C) 6
  4. D) 8

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  Using the permutation formula 3!/0! = (3)(2)(1) = 6.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

41) You are assigned to design color codes for different parts. Three colors are used to code on each part. Once a combination of three colors is used—such as green, yellow, and red—these three colors cannot be rearranged to use as a code for another part. If there are 35 combinations, how many colors are available?

  1. A) 5
  2. B) 7
  3. C) 9
  4. D) 11

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  Using the combination formula, x!/(3!(x − 3)!) or trial and error, there are 7 colors.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

 

42) A developer of a new subdivision wants to build homes that are all different. There are three different interior plans that can be combined with any of five different home exteriors. How many different homes can be built?

  1. A) 8
  2. B) 10
  3. C) 15
  4. D) 30

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  Using the multiplication formula, (3)(5) = 15.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

43) Six basic colors are used in decorating a new condominium. They are applied to a unit in groups of four colors. One unit might have gold as the principal color, blue as a complementary color, red as the accent color, and touches of white. Another unit might have blue as the principal color, white as the complementary color, gold as the accent color, and touches of red. If repetitions are permitted, how many different units can be decorated?

  1. A) 7,825
  2. B) 25
  3. C) 125
  4. D) 1,296

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  Using the multiplication formula, (6)(6)(6)(6) = 1,296.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

44) The ABCD football association is considering a Super Ten Football Conference. The top 10 football teams in the country, based on past records, would be members of the Super Ten Conference. Each team would play every other team in the conference during the season and the team winning the most games would be declared the national champion. How many games would the conference commissioner have to schedule each year? (Remember, Oklahoma versus Michigan is the same as Michigan versus Oklahoma.)

  1. A) 45
  2. B) 50
  3. C) 125
  4. D) 14

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  Using the combination formula, n = 10 and r = 2, 10!/2!(10 − 2)! = 90/2 = 45.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

45) A rug manufacturer has decided to use seven compatible colors in her rugs. However, in weaving a rug, only five spindles can be used. In advertising, the rug manufacturer wants to indicate the number of different color groupings for sale. How many color groupings using the seven colors taken five at a time are there? (This assumes that five different colors will go into each rug—in other words, there are no repetitions of color.)

  1. A) 7
  2. B) 21
  3. C) 840
  4. D) 42

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  Using the combination formula, n = 7 and r = 5; 7!/5!(7 − 5)! = 42/2 = 21.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

 

46) The first card selected from a standard 52-card deck was a king. If it is returned to the deck, what is the probability that a king will be drawn on the second selection?

  1. A) 1/4 or 0.25
  2. B) 1/13 or 0.077
  3. C) 12/13 or 0.923
  4. D) 1/3 or 0.33

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  The probability is 4/52 = 1/13, or 0.077.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

47) The first card selected from a standard 52-card deck was a king. If it is NOT returned to the deck, what is the probability that a king will be drawn on the second selection?

  1. A) 1/3 or 0.33
  2. B) 1/51 or 0.0196
  3. C) 3/51 or 0.0588
  4. D) 1/13 or 0.077

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  The probability of a king on the first selection is 4/52 = 1/13. The probability of selecting a second king is a conditional probability that assumes the first selection was a king, so the probability of a second king is 3/51, or 0.0588.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

48) Which approach to probability assumes that events are equally likely?

  1. A) Classical
  2. B) Empirical
  3. C) Subjective
  4. D) Mutually exclusive

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  By definition, the classical approach assumes that events are equally likely.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-02 Assign probabilities using a classical, empirical, or subjective approach.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

49) An experiment may have ________.

  1. A) only one outcome
  2. B) only two outcomes
  3. C) one or more outcomes
  4. D) several events

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  By definition, an experiment results in one or more outcomes.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  What is a Probability?

Learning Objective:  05-01 Define the terms probability, experiment, event, and outcome.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

50) When are two experimental outcomes mutually exclusive?

  1. A) When they overlap on a Venn diagram.
  2. B) If one outcome occurs, then the other cannot.
  3. C) When the probability of one affects the probability of the other.
  4. D) When the joint probability of the two outcomes is not equal to zero.

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  By example, an experiment measures the variable gender. Therefore, there are two possible outcomes: male or female. The outcome is mutually exclusive since a person can be classified as either male or female, not both.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-02 Assign probabilities using a classical, empirical, or subjective approach.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

51) Probabilities are important information when ________.

  1. A) summarizing a data set with a frequency chart
  2. B) applying descriptive statistics
  3. C) computing cumulative frequencies
  4. D) using inferential statistics

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  Inferential statistics uses sample data to make decisions with a stated probability of making an error.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  What is a Probability?

Learning Objective:  05-01 Define the terms probability, experiment, event, and outcome.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

 

52) The result of a particular experiment is called a(n) ________.

  1. A) observation
  2. B) conditional probability
  3. C) event
  4. D) outcome

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  By definition, experiments result in a set of observable outcomes.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  What is a Probability?

Learning Objective:  05-01 Define the terms probability, experiment, event, and outcome.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

53) The probability of two or more events occurring concurrently is called a(n) ________.

  1. A) conditional probability
  2. B) empirical probability
  3. C) joint probability
  4. D) tree diagram

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  The P(A and B and C) is a joint probability.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

54) The probability of a particular event occurring, given that another event has occurred, is known as a(n) ________.

  1. A) conditional probability
  2. B) empirical probability
  3. C) joint probability
  4. D) tree diagram

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  P(A | B) is a conditional probability indicating that the probability of the event A is affected by event B.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

55) A graphical method used to calculate joint and conditional probabilities is ________.

  1. A) a tree diagram
  2. B) a Venn diagram
  3. C) a histogram
  4. D) inferential statistics

 

Answer:  A

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-05 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

56) When an experiment is conducted “without replacement,” ________.

  1. A) events are dependent
  2. B) events are equally likely
  3. C) the experiment can be illustrated with a Venn diagram
  4. D) the probability of two or more events is computed as a joint probability

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  “Without replacement” means that when an individual or object is observed or measured, it is not returned to the population. So on the next selection from the population, each individual or object has a higher probability of selection because the population is now N − 1.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

57) If two events are independent, then their joint probability is computed with ________.

  1. A) the special rule of addition
  2. B) the special rule of multiplication
  3. C) the general rule of multiplication
  4. D) the Bayes’ theorem

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  The special rule of multiplication is P(A and B) = P(A)P(B) for independent events.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

58) When applying the special rule of addition for mutually exclusive events, the joint probability is ________.

  1. A) 1
  2. B) 0.5
  3. C) 0
  4. D) unknown

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  For mutually exclusive events, the joint probability is P(A and B) = 0.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

59) When an event’s probability depends on the occurrence of another event, the probability is a(n) ________.

  1. A) conditional probability
  2. B) empirical probability
  3. C) joint probability
  4. D) mutually exclusive probability

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  It is a conditional probability, expressed as P(B | A), or the probability of B given A.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

60) A group of employees of Unique Services will be surveyed about a new pension plan. In-depth interviews with each employee selected in the sample will be conducted. The employees are classified as follows:

 

Classification Event Number of Employees
Supervisors A 120
Maintenance B 50
Production C 1,460
Management D 302
Secretarial E 68

 

What is the probability that the first person selected is classified as a maintenance employee?

  1. A) 0.20
  2. B) 0.50
  3. C) 0.025
  4. D) 1.00

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  Applying the empirical probability approach, there are 50 maintenance employees out of a total of 2,000 employees. The probability is 50/2,000 = 0.025.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-02 Assign probabilities using a classical, empirical, or subjective approach.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

61) A group of employees of Unique Services will be surveyed about a new pension plan. In-depth interviews with each employee selected in the sample will be conducted. The employees are classified as follows:

 

Classification Event Number of Employees
Supervisors A 120
Maintenance B 50
Production C 1,460
Management D 302
Secretarial E 68

 

What is the probability that the first person selected is either in maintenance or in secretarial?

  1. A) 0.200
  2. B) 0.015
  3. C) 0.059
  4. D) 0.001

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  Given mutually exclusive classes, P(maintenance or secretarial) = P(maintenance) + P(secretarial) = 50/2,000 + 68/2,000 = 0.059.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

62) A group of employees of Unique Services will be surveyed about a new pension plan. In-depth interviews with each employee selected in the sample will be conducted. The employees are classified as follows:

 

Classification Event Number of Employees
Supervisors A 120
Maintenance B 50
Production C 1,460
Management D 302
Secretarial E 68

 

What is the probability that the first person selected is either in management or in supervision?

  1. A) 0.00
  2. B) 0.06
  3. C) 0.15
  4. D) 0.21

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  For mutually exclusive classes, P(management or supervision) = P(management) + P(supervision) = 302/2,000 + 120/2,000 = 0.21.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

63) The process used to calculate the revised probability of an event given additional information can be obtained through ________.

  1. A) Bayes’ theorem
  2. B) classical probability
  3. C) permutation
  4. D) subjective probability

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  Bayes’ theorem is used to calculate posterior probabilities, or revised probabilities based on additional information added to the prior probabilities we have presently.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Bayes Theorem

Learning Objective:  05-06 Calculate probabilities using Bayes theorem.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

64) Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on their sales ability and their potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.

 

  Potential for Advancement
  Fair Good Excellent
Sales ability Below average 16 12 22
  Average 45 60 45
  Above average 93 72 135

 

What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random has above-average sales ability and has excellent potential for advancement?

  1. A) 0.20
  2. B) 0.50
  3. C) 0.27
  4. D) 0.75

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  The events are not independent. P(above-average ability and excellent potential) = P(above-average ability) P(excellent potential | above-average ability) = (300/500) (135/300) = 135/500 = 0.27.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Contingency Tables

Learning Objective:  05-05 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

65) Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on his or her sales ability and potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.

 

  Potential for Advancement
  Fair Good Excellent
Sales ability Below average 16 12 22
  Average 45 60 45
  Above average 93 72 135

 

What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have average sales ability and good potential for advancement?

  1. A) 0.09
  2. B) 0.12
  3. C) 0.30
  4. D) 0.525

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  The events are not independent. P(average ability and good potential) = P(average ability) P(good potential | average ability) = (150/500)(60/150) = 60/500 = 0.12.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Contingency Tables

Learning Objective:  05-05 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

66) Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on his or her sales ability and potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.

 

  Potential for Advancement
  Fair Good Excellent
Sales ability Below average 16 12 22
  Average 45 60 45
  Above average 93 72 135

 

What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have below-average sales ability and fair potential for advancement?

  1. A) 0.032
  2. B) 0.10
  3. C) 0.16
  4. D) 0.32

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  The events are not independent. P(below average ability and fair potential) = P(below average ability) P(fair potential | below average ability) = (60/500)(16/60) = 16/500 = 0.032.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Contingency Tables

Learning Objective:  05-05 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

67) Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on his or her sales ability and potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.

 

  Potential for Advancement
  Fair Good Excellent
Sales ability Below average 16 12 22
  Average 45 60 45
  Above average 93 72 135

 

What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have an excellent potential for advancement given he or she also has above-average sales ability?

  1. A) 0.27
  2. B) 0.60
  3. C) 0.404
  4. D) 0.45

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  This is a conditional probability: P(excellent potential | above-average ability)(135/300) = 0.45. There are 300 salespeople who are above average; 135 have excellent potential.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Contingency Tables

Learning Objective:  05-05 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

68) Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on his or her sales ability and potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.

 

  Potential for Advancement
  Fair Good Excellent
Sales ability Below average 16 12 22
  Average 45 60 45
  Above average 93 72 135

 

What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have an excellent potential for advancement given he or she also has average sales ability?

  1. A) 0.27
  2. B) 0.30
  3. C) 0.404
  4. D) 0.45

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  This is a conditional probability: P(excellent potential | average ability)(45/150) = 0.30. There are 150 salespeople who are average; 45 have excellent potential.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Contingency Tables

Learning Objective:  05-05 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

69) A study of interior designers’ opinions with respect to the most desirable primary color for executive offices showed the following:

 

Primary Color Number of Opinions
Red 92
Orange 86
Yellow 46
Green 91
Blue 37
Indigo 46
Violet 2

 

What is the probability that a designer does NOT prefer red?

  1. A) 1.00
  2. B) 0.77
  3. C) 0.73
  4. D) 0.23

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  Using the complement rule, P(red) = 92/400 = 0.23. Therefore, P(not red) = 1.00 − 0.23 = 0.77.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

70) A study of interior designers’ opinions with respect to the most desirable primary color for executive offices showed the following:

 

Primary Color Number of Opinions
Red 92
Orange 86
Yellow 46
Green 91
Blue 37
Indigo 46
Violet 2

 

What is the probability that a designer does NOT prefer yellow?

  1. A) 0.000
  2. B) 0.765
  3. C) 0.885
  4. D) 1.000

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  Using the complement rule, P(yellow) = 46/400 = 0.115. Therefore, P(not yellow) = 1.00 − 0.115 = 0.885.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

71) A study of interior designers’ opinions with respect to the most desirable primary color for executive offices showed the following:

 

Primary Color Number of Opinions
Red 92
Orange 86
Yellow 46
Green 91
Blue 37
Indigo 46
Violet 2

 

What is the probability that a designer does NOT prefer blue?

  1. A) 1.0000
  2. B) 0.9075
  3. C) 0.8850
  4. D) 0.7725

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  Using the complement rule, P(blue) = 37/400 = 0.0925. Therefore, P(not blue) = 1.00 − 0.0925 = 0.9075.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

 

72) An automatic machine inserts mixed vegetables into a plastic bag. Past experience revealed that some packages were underweight and some were overweight, but most of them had satisfactory weight.

 

Weight % of Total
Underweight 2.5
Satisfactory 90.0
Overweight 7.5

 

What is the probability of selecting three packages that are overweight?

  1. A) 0.0000156
  2. B) 0.0004219
  3. C) 0.0000001
  4. D) 0.075

 

Answer:  B

Explanation:  Apply the multiplication rule: (0.075)(0.075)(0.075) = 0.0004219.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

73) An automatic machine inserts mixed vegetables into a plastic bag. Past experience revealed that some packages were underweight and some were overweight, but most of them had satisfactory weight.

 

Weight % of Total
Underweight 2.5
Satisfactory 90.0
Overweight 7.5

 

What is the probability of selecting three packages that are satisfactory?

  1. A) 0.900
  2. B) 0.810
  3. C) 0.729
  4. D) 0.075

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  Apply the multiplication rule: (0.90)(0.90)(0.90) = 0.729.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Multiplication to Calculate Probability

Learning Objective:  05-04 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

74) In a finance class, the final grade is based on three tests. Historically, the instructor tells the class that the joint probability of scoring As on the first two tests is 0.5. A student assigns a probability of 0.9 that she will get an A on the first test. What is the probability that the student will score an A on the second test given that she scored an A on the first test?

  1. A) 0.50
  2. B) 0.95
  3. C) 0.56
  4. D) 0.90

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  The general rule of multiplication states that P(A and B) = P(A|B) P(B), so P(A|B) = P(A and B)/P(B). Therefore, P(A on second test| A on first test) = P(A on both tests) / P(A on first test) = 0.5/0.9 = 0.56.

Difficulty: 3 Hard

Topic:  Bayes Theorem

Learning Objective:  05-06 Calculate probabilities using Bayes theorem.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

75) Using the terminology of Bayes’ theorem, a posterior probability can also be defined as a

  1. A) revised probability
  2. B) joint probability
  3. C) subjective probability
  4. D) classical probability

 

Answer:  A

Explanation:  A posterior probability is a revised probability based on additional information.

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Bayes Theorem

Learning Objective:  05-06 Calculate probabilities using Bayes theorem.

Bloom’s:  Understand

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

 

76) If A and B are mutually exclusive events with P(A) = 0.2 and P(B) = 0.6, then P(A or B) = ________.

  1. A) 0.00
  2. B) 0.12
  3. C) 0.80
  4. D) 0.40

 

Answer:  C

Explanation:  Use formula [5-4]: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A and B). Since the events are mutually exclusive, P(A and B) = 0 and P(A or B) = (0.20) + (0.60) = 0.80.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

 

77) If P(A) = 0.62, P(B) = 0.47, and P(A or B) = 0.88, then P(A and B) = ________.

  1. A) 0.2914
  2. B) 1.9700
  3. C) 0.6700
  4. D) 0.2100

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  Use formula [5-4]: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A and B). Rearrange formula [5-4]: P(A and B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A or B) = 0.62 + 0.47 − 0.88 = 0.21. P(A and B) = 0.21.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Rules of Addition for Computing Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

78) A method of assigning probabilities based upon judgment, opinions, and available information is referred to as the ________.

  1. A) empirical method
  2. B) probability method
  3. C) classical method
  4. D) subjective method

 

Answer:  D

Difficulty: 1 Easy

Topic:  Approaches to Assigning Probabilities

Learning Objective:  05-02 Assign probabilities using a classical, empirical, or subjective approach.

Bloom’s:  Remember

AACSB:  Communication

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

 

79) Your favorite soccer team has two remaining matches to complete the season. The possible outcomes of a soccer match are win, lose, or tie. What is the possible number of outcomes for the season?

  1. A) 2
  2. B) 4
  3. C) 6
  4. D) 9

 

Answer:  D

Explanation:  Use the tree diagram to determine the possible outcomes, which are: {W,W}, {W,L}, {W,T}, {L,W}, {L,L}, {L,T}, {T,W}, {T,L}, {T,T}. There are 9 possible outcomes.

Difficulty: 2 Medium

Topic:  Principles of Counting

Learning Objective:  05-07 Determine the number of outcomes using principles of counting.

Bloom’s:  Apply

AACSB:  Analytic

Accessibility:  Keyboard Navigation

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